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  • Produktbild: Disputed Decisions of World War II
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Disputed Decisions of World War II Decision Science and Game Theory Perspectives

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Beschreibung

Produktdetails

Einband

Taschenbuch

Altersempfehlung

ab 18 Jahr(e)

Erscheinungsdatum

09.12.2019

Verlag

Ingram Publishers Services

Seitenzahl

214

Maße (L/B/H)

25,4/17,8/1,2 cm

Gewicht

413 g

Sprache

Englisch

ISBN

978-1-4766-8004-0

Beschreibung

Produktdetails

Einband

Taschenbuch

Altersempfehlung

ab 18 Jahr(e)

Erscheinungsdatum

09.12.2019

Verlag

Ingram Publishers Services

Seitenzahl

214

Maße (L/B/H)

25,4/17,8/1,2 cm

Gewicht

413 g

Sprache

Englisch

ISBN

978-1-4766-8004-0

Herstelleradresse

Libri GmbH
Europaallee 1
36244 Bad Hersfeld
DE

Email: gpsr@libri.de

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  • Produktbild: Disputed Decisions of World War II
  • Produktbild: Disputed Decisions of World War II
  • Table of Contents

    Acknowledgments
    Introduction
    1.¿Dieppe
    The Strategic Decision: Should Dieppe in August 1942 Have Been Raided?¿5¿¿¿The Outcome: Minor Success; Profitless Movement; Major Disaster¿13¿¿¿Later Decisions: Should Reserves Have Been Sent to Red and White Beaches-As Was Done?¿15¿¿¿The Outcome: Wounding, Capture and Death¿16¿¿¿Still Later Decision: Should the Operation Have Been Called Off-As It Was?¿16¿¿¿The Outcome: The Return of Twelve Hundred; Crowing in Berlin¿17¿¿¿How Bad Was the Outcome? How Significant the Battle?¿17¿¿¿An Alternative Approach to Judging Decisions and Outcomes, That of Decision Science¿18¿¿¿Did the Lessons of Dieppe Make Its Outcome, on Net, Good?¿19¿¿¿What Pluses, Other Than Its Lessons, Did Operation Jubilee Have?¿21¿¿¿Judging Decisions Apart from Outcomes¿22¿¿¿Was Undertaking Jubilee a Good or a Bad Decision?¿23¿¿¿How Much Did Ill Luck, Flawed Execution, or Poor Intelligence Contribute to the Bad Outcome?¿25¿¿¿Given the Retrospective Consensus That the Plans for Operations Rutter and Jubilee Were Disastrous, Why Had They Been Approved?¿28¿¿¿Could No One Have Prevented the Suicidal Folly? Did the Fault Lie in the ­Meta-Decisions-The Determinations of How the Decisions Would Be Made?¿31¿¿¿­Meta-Decisional Issues: How Should ­Go-No-Go Determinations Be Made? How Were They Made on Dieppe?¿34¿¿¿Did the British Authorize Rutter/Jubilee Expecting Failure-Perhaps Also Hoping for It and Even Acting to Sabotage the Raid?¿35¿¿¿The Expected Value of Information¿37¿¿¿What Should the Allies Have Done?¿38¿¿¿Models of Governmental ­Decision-Making¿38¿¿¿Conclusions¿39
    2.¿North Africa
    The ­Grand-Strategic Decision: Should the Allies in November 1942 Have Landed in North Africa?¿41¿¿¿The Four Steps of Decision Science¿49¿¿¿Competing ­Grand-Strategic Priorities¿49¿¿¿Strategic Alternatives¿51¿¿¿Tactical Choices¿52¿¿¿
    Uncertainties¿54¿¿¿Values: ­Anglo-American Differences in Outlook and Priority¿57¿¿¿
    Modes of Decision Influence¿59¿¿¿Roosevelt and Marshall¿65¿¿¿The Outcome: Brief Opposition in Landing; Loss of the Race for Tunis; Capturing Thrice as Many Men as Had Been in the Afrika Korps¿66¿¿¿The Sequence of Outcome Ratings for Torch: First Good; Then Bad; Ultimately, Better Than Good¿72¿¿¿The Planning Fallacy¿73¿¿¿Consequences of the Allied Failure to Take Tunis Quickly¿75¿¿¿Was Undertaking Operation Gymnast/Torch a Good or a Bad Decision?¿75¿¿¿Was the Decision of Adolf Hitler to Send More Troops to Africa Good or Bad?¿78¿¿¿Game Theory¿80¿¿¿­Other-Side Perception¿81¿¿¿­Move-Order Plusses and Minuses¿83¿¿¿Conclusions¿84
    3.¿Messina
    The ­Non-Decision: Should the Allies in July and August of 1943 Have Acted, More Than They Negligibly Did, to Prevent the Escape of 53,000 Germans Across the Strait of Messina?¿87¿¿¿The Outcome: Allied Conquest of Sicily; German Escape; Italian Forsaking of the Axis Alliance¿88¿¿¿How Good or Bad Was the Outcome of Operation Husky?¿89¿¿¿Judgments on the ­Non-Decision of Failing to Interdict German Flight and Its Outcome¿90¿¿¿What Affected How Bad or How Good the Outcome of Operation Husky Was?¿91¿¿¿What Steps Might the Allies Have Taken to Have Captured or Killed Tens of Thousands More Germans in Sicily?¿93¿¿¿Why Did the Allies in Sicily Not Take Any of Many Possible Decision Alternatives, Instead of Drifting into Their Actual, Inferior ­Non-Decision?¿97¿¿¿Who, If Anyone, Was at Fault?¿99¿¿¿What Should the Allies Not Have Done?¿100¿¿¿Principals and Agents; Unity of Command¿102¿¿¿Why Did the Germans in Sicily Do Better Than the Allies?¿108¿¿¿The Perspective of Game Theory¿108¿¿¿Risk Aversion¿109¿¿¿Organizational Behavior¿109¿¿¿How Bad Were the Consequences of the ­Non-Decision at Messina?¿110¿¿¿Conclusions¿111
    4.¿Anzio
    The Strategic Decision: Should the Allies in January 1944 Have Landed at Anzio?¿113¿¿¿The Operational Decision: Should Major General John Lucas, in His First Two Days Ashore, Have Pushed Boldly Forward-Which He Did Not Do?¿118¿¿¿The Outcome: Stalemate at the Beachhead¿120¿¿¿Did the Operational Decision of John Lucas Have a Good or a Bad Outcome?¿122¿¿¿Was the Operational Decision of John Lucas Good or Bad?¿123¿¿¿Did Operation Shingle Have a Good or a Bad Outcome?¿125¿¿¿Deciding on Shingle¿127¿¿¿Uncertainties¿128¿¿¿Values¿130¿¿¿Judgments of the Decision to Undertake Shingle¿131¿¿¿Shingle as a Bluff¿132¿¿¿­Game-Theoretic Perspectives on Anziö134¿¿¿Governmental Politics¿134¿¿¿Conclusions¿137
    Epilogue: The Science of Deciding, the Theory of Games and War
    The Planning Fallacy¿139¿¿¿Ways of Influencing and Resolving Decisions¿139¿¿¿Public Opinion¿143¿¿¿Weariness¿145¿¿¿Age¿148¿¿¿Decision Fatigue, Food and Sex¿152¿¿¿Groupthink¿153¿¿¿Expertise¿157¿¿¿Numbers¿159¿¿¿Principals, Agents, Asymmetric Information, Command Unity and Coalitions¿162¿¿¿The Potential Value of Decision Science and Game Theory Between Dieppe and Anziö165¿¿¿Better Decisions in Conflicts to Come¿167
    Chapter Notes
    Bibliography
    Index